HomeExperienceWhat will AWS customers do when Amazon goes out of business?
What will AWS customers do when Amazon goes out of business?
May 25, 2022
It is inevitable that Amazon (AMZN) will go under and it will be sooner rather than later. Amazon is now where Sears was and the fall of Amazon will be much faster. I’ve talked a bit about this in my latest book.
The topic came up again during an email conversation with a former coworker. They are retired and watched their retirement portfolio get cut in half this past week. That’s right, half! Living on the left-coast they naturally chased “the tech stocks” like every other lemming headed over the cliff.
While a token few pieces of Amazon may survive the coming implosion, they will only do so if activist investors start busting up the company now. You see, Amazon is too poorly run and has too much bad press. It’s on the downward slide.
The Amazon toilet flush
Given Sears still has 23 stores or something like that, one could say it is still gasping and twitching. What one couldn’t say is that it is doing well. This link gives a pictorial history of ten stores everyone shopped at that no longer exist. When you hear the phrase “Dime store,” that was Woolworth’s. Today we have multiple “dollar store” chains. Woolworth’s management just couldn’t shake “the dime store” model. Most “dollar” stores have very few things that sell for a buck. That list left off some notable entries: Venture, Circuit City, Fretter, Montgomery Ward, Builders Square, Toys “R” Us, the list goes on and on. At one point J.C. Penny was a down & out dog, now it is buying Khols.
So, if one lives long enough, they get to see this movie time and time again. With a traditional retailer it is a slow decline until the creditors slam the door. Pre-pandemic everyone realized a retailer was going under when the shelves were empty. Not a good indicator anymore. With Amazon, it will be a toilet flush. The Tidy Bowl Man is tugging on the chain.
Rest assured the union votes will come at a furious pace now. Bernie Sanders is hot on the trail of Amazon and that will give people hope. More importantly it shines a spotlight on what a shit-hole Amazon is. Amazon has been abusing labor for a very long time, I’ve blogged about it before.
China spy chips on servers
Bloomberg ran a story about Chinese spy chips on server motherboards. Apple and Amazon “deny” this, but have never proven it wasn’t true. More importantly, the DOD contract was up for bid at the time. Bloomberg stuck to its story. This never went to court. Odds are this was a DOD leak and the NSA certainly has the people who could find it.
Amazon can’t “just ignore” this story because it isn’t going away. Companies that hire legitimate companies to assist with any cloud migration strategy always point this out.
Amizon anti-trust, tax evasion, and obstruction of Congress
The AGILE hacking on the fly without any real plan that is typical of Amazon software development produced the highly insecure Ring product. I’ve blogged about this one before as well. The pandemic bought Amazon a little time, but there is no way they can really win.
Just make sure every person on the jury has little kids and no way they don’t convict when shown this video.
We had two plus years of basically being trapped inside. Lots of people ordered from Amazon. Many of them got pissed off at Amazon over one thing or other. Probably the biggest post-pandemic reality now is that most consumers really want to go to a shopping mall.
I had to take my mother to one the last time things kind of calmed down. You know what I saw? People just wandering around. Most weren’t even going into stores, just watching other people, walking, and stopping at the food court. They had forgotten how to be social in a social setting, but were working on it.
Financial trade press likes to talk about inflation, possible recession. Workin’ Joe just knows that the 6 MPG amazon deliver vans cost a lot more to run when gas hits $6/gallon.
The low income people who would normally shop online for the cheapest price have a lot less money to spend when gasoline is over $2/gallon. Neiman Marcus customers, however, just keep shopping.
The sell-off of Amazon will have no bottom. There is too much working against it. While building a rocket as a testimony to the size of his manhood, Bezos took his eye off the ball. The general population is just now learning how wretched the working conditions have been at Amazon given all of the publicity around the union votes.
Tech made in China is going to be increasingly difficult to import over the coming years. This is reality. Spy software in the 5G equipment is too big a chance for America to take with infrastructure. Pretty soon the government is going to be checking your Apple phones and every other tech product imported from China.
You will always find a rash of “3 Reasons to Buy” articles published online after a sell-off. Those Judas Goat articles to lead fools to slaughter. You can’t play a Dead Cat Bounce until the cat actually hits the pavement. Amazon is definitely headed there. Avoid the articles trying to encourage a sucker rally. Until this hits $2/share it isn’t worth looking at.
Management doesn’t get any smarter until a stock is about to be de-listed.
The real question is how many careers will be over because they decided to use AWS when this happens?
If you’ve worked in IT long enough, you’ve seen this movie too. Out-sourcing functions to companies that go under and leave you twisting in the breeze has a time-honored tradition.
Roland Hughes started his IT career in the early 1980s. He quickly became a consultant and president of Logikal Solutions, a software consulting firm specializing in OpenVMS application and C++/Qt touchscreen/embedded Linux development. Early in his career he became involved in what is now called cross platform development. Given the dearth of useful books on the subject he ventured into the world of professional author in 1995 writing the first of the "Zinc It!" book series for John Gordon Burke Publisher, Inc.
A decade later he released a massive (nearly 800 pages) tome "The Minimum You Need to Know to Be an OpenVMS Application Developer" which tried to encapsulate the essential skills gained over what was nearly a 20 year career at that point. From there "The Minimum You Need to Know" book series was born.
Three years later he wrote his first novel "Infinite Exposure" which got much notice from people involved in the banking and financial security worlds. Some of the attacks predicted in that book have since come to pass. While it was not originally intended to be a trilogy, it became the first book of "The Earth That Was" trilogy:
Lesedi - The Greatest Lie Ever Told
John Smith - Last Known Survivor of the Microsoft Wars
When he is not consulting Roland Hughes posts about technology and sometimes politics on his blog. He also has regularly scheduled Sunday posts appearing on the Interesting Authors blog.